Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3.107543 3.529319 3.976745 4.485617 5.047178 5.646800 6.334314
2024-12-15 2.471161 3.081727 3.778763 4.628128 5.629560 6.766986 8.150509
2024-12-22 1.969905 2.676074 3.537318 4.652112 6.042791 7.705581 9.827699
2024-12-29 1.680613 2.462008 3.471301 4.846400 6.643976 8.884863 11.856503
2025-01-05 1.444033 2.267772 3.388759 4.987305 7.164128 9.976728 13.829328
2025-01-12 1.203817 2.024116 3.198331 4.946964 7.420778 10.724111 15.383888
2025-01-19 1.049025 1.876680 3.116398 5.034445 7.839190 11.691366 17.262041
2025-01-26 0.917304 1.741848 3.031298 5.098797 8.215656 12.607635 19.102688
2025-02-02 0.811164 1.630496 2.964982 5.176870 8.605932 13.551454 21.013691
2025-02-09 0.704486 1.500573 2.851412 5.165349 8.852232 14.290789 22.657163
2025-02-16 0.602532 1.362083 2.705611 5.084027 8.977519 14.848721 24.051457
2025-02-23 0.535439 1.277792 2.640950 5.125655 9.290797 15.692990 25.891472
2025-03-02 0.464053 1.176031 2.538161 5.100705 9.506715 16.417892 27.615894
2025-03-09 0.419101 1.121523 2.515640 5.212591 9.953613 17.522014 29.965427
2025-03-16 0.367334 1.043010 2.438100 5.218138 10.220379 18.353258 31.928599
2025-03-23 0.342512 1.021212 2.468428 5.422003 10.836120 19.767033 34.852920
2025-03-30 0.314924 0.987812 2.470930 5.572114 11.364184 21.058013 37.627745
2025-04-06 0.273635 0.912241 2.376255 5.525904 11.537846 21.769320 39.497397
2025-04-13 0.248503 0.873433 2.355203 5.620846 11.968966 22.924061 42.120850
2025-04-20 0.224354 0.832316 2.323780 5.690916 12.355684 24.015909 44.674766
2025-04-27 0.203813 0.797105 2.301278 5.776216 12.773231 25.173802 47.372626
2025-05-04 0.179805 0.746130 2.235290 5.763518 13.001408 26.009028 49.554742
2025-05-11 0.154786 0.685679 2.138230 5.674435 13.074099 26.570170 51.287524